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Adios Armando Galarraga?
Written by Bob Biscigliano   
Sunday, 17 May 2009 12:34

galarraga

Armando Galarraga has been a pleasant surprise, definitely more productive than anyone could have possibly expected.  Armando wasn't even a top prospect when the Tigers landed him as a throw in to a deal with Texas.  Last year he threw like a rookie of the year pitching candidate (and like the Tigers ace), throwing 178 IP, racking up 126 K's, and went 13-7 with a 3.73 ERA.  He was off to an even better start this season, winning his first three decisions in four starts where he allowed just 5 runs in 24.1 IP.

Two days after Armando's April 26 victory, Sky Kalkman at Beyond the Boxscore wrote a piece titled "Get off the Armando Bandwagon." He through out a bunch of sabermetrics that basically said that Galarraga was pitching out of his mind and his true ERA is about a 4.40-4.75 ERA type guy and that anyone who dares to have them on their fantasy teams should sell high.

Well, either Mr Kalkman deserves a lot of credit or he should be burned at the stake for witchcraft.  Either way, Galarraga has absolutely tanked since that article.

In his last four starts, Galarraga has thrown just 17 1/3 IP, but has given up 21 earned runs while walking 12 batters.  His season ERA has dropped to 5.62 and is 0-3 in those starts.

The timing of Galarraga's implosion is unfortunate for him because Jeremy Bonderman is set to be back very soon and that means one guy needs to be the odd man out.  That is looking more and more like it is going to be Galarraga. With Willis back and throwing strikes with plus velocity, the only other question mark in the rotation at this point is Armando's recent struggles.

Bonderman, who said he would need just two rehab starts before being ready to go, went 7 strong innings in Class A last night, striking out 4 and walking just one.  He allowed 2 ER on a couple of RBI groundouts.  According to Jason Beck's tweet today, Bonderman will start Thursday in AAA and barring any setbacks, his next stop will be back with the Tigers.

Financially, a Bonderman for Galarraga swap makes sense, too.    Bonderman is set to make  $12.5 million this season while Galarraga makes the minium of $435,000.  It appears that Willis is going to be given a legitimate second chance in the rotation seeing as he is the only lefty and will be making $10+ million this year regardless.  As long as he is pounding the zone with 92-95 MPH fastball, he should be a more than adequate 4th or 5th starter.  Since we're already eating Sheffield's huge contract, it'd be nice to have our bigger contract guys actually be of use to the team.

I've heard some rumblings that Porcello might get sent to the minors, but that would be (pardon my unPCness) retarded.  He's been terrific in his last two starts and we don't need to be effing with him mentally right now.  I know he's a mature and mentally tough kid, but I would go off my rocker if Dombrowski did this.

Everything is pointing to it being adios Armando Galarraga.


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Comments (4)Add Comment
...
written by John Eshelman, May 18, 2009
Dear Bob,
I liked your post here. I hope Bonderman can come back quick, but it is too bad it may have to be at the expense of Armando. However, your argument that the fact that JB' makes $12.5 mil over AG's $400 K matters does not make sense to me. If I am not mistaken (I could be) MLB contracts are guaranteed, which means basically that we have already paid both of them. We will never get that $12.5 mil back from Bondo, it doesn't matter if he wins 20 and is an All Star or if he doesn't pitch an inning. Same goes for AG and his 435 K. I agree that it would be nice for the morale of the fan base for JB to have a good year and earn his money, but the way I see it, in terms of sheer economics it does not matter if it is JB or AG getting the job done as long as it gets done. Alright, this has gone on long enough...sorry if this was a little scattered, I've had a few chardonnays...send my love to Dupree and Chip....Love and Kisses, JE
...
written by Detroit4lyfe, May 18, 2009
Welp, I just had an entire reply deleted, so hopefully I can duplicate it verbatim with this....

John, you're right, the contracts are guaranteed and I think my argument is unclear. I think my last sentence best sums up what I wanted to say and that is that it would be nice if some of our big money guys actually contributed to the team since we invest so much in them. I think the following scenario in baseball, particularly with draft picks who under perform in the minor leagues, best explains what I meant (should have said more clearly). Higher draft picks who are guaranteed bigger contracts are typically given a better (longer) chance to perform up to par. Meanwhile, the lower draft picks who are not guaranteed as much are given a much shorter leash because teams are not as heavily invested in them so don't feel the need to keep them around if they are under performing. That might be the case here with AG. Since he is making just $435,000 while Bonderman and Willis make $10+ million, AG is probably an easier expense. I don't necessarily think that makes the most sense in all cases, but I know it happens. You are absolutely right though, that in terms of sheer economics, it does not matter because the money is already divvied up and I probably should not have phrased it as "financially it makes sense."

Thanks for the comment, buddy. My boy's wicked sma't.

Love,
Bob
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written by Detroit4lyfe, May 18, 2009
And it's 435,000 for AG, not 5,000. Sorry it changed the #'s automatically. 10+ million for Bondo and Willis, too.
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written by Jeff, May 18, 2009
I like Galarraga. Hell, he was the lone bright spot on the Tigers pitching staff last year. That being said; Verlander looks like he is back to form, Jackson has been amazing, Porchello has performed as expeced and Willis...well we'll see(I am pulling for D-train though). That leaves Galarraga in the dust. He has been god awful his last 4 starts, and if his last name started will W and ended with S he would be on the DL with anxiety disorder by now.

I hope Bondo comes with a vengeance. We need it to keep the central in our grips. And to get Leyand resigned, which I hope above all else we get done soon.

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